Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Beating the NBA Odds



“I am going to be a football player, basketball player or baseball player”,

 is the response I received from several little boys, when asked what they are going to do when they grew up, so I though as the NBA gears up for their new season, wouldn’t it be quite interesting to find out what percentage of male high school basketball players make it into the NBA?  After a little research I found out that in the United States alone, the number is very small… a mere .02%.

In delving deeper into this question I found that the quest to play in the NBA starts at the tender age of 5 or 6, where parents introduce their kids to the game of basketball by watching it on TV and/or taking them to a game.  Parents then enroll their kids on a basketball team to keep them busy, increase their weekly exercise or help them to learn how to play with a team, all in the hopes that they will play in the NBA.  Parents encourage their kids to play on various intramural teams, sign them up for basketball camps and enroll them in agility gyms at great financial strain in hopes that they will continue honing in on their skills and becoming adept at the game, so they can make it to the NBA.

In High School only the best players make it onto the varsity basketball team.  The competition is so strong that when these players who have been playing basketball all their lives enter high school, not many of them make it onto the team, because the weaning out process (or numbers game) begins. This is a very crucial time, because college scouts begin to look for extraordinary players for their teams and athletes in their junior year initiate their search for the elusive athletic college scholarship.  Even getting a scholarship is a numbers game.  There are approximately 15 players on a varsity high school basketball team and there is normally one scholarship given to play college basketball.  That means only 1 player out of 5-7 teams or 1 out of 90 players receive a college basketball scholarship.  Although it is not necessary to get a basketball scholarship in order to play on a college team, these statistics show the initial odds of just receiving one.

The pool of possible athletes making it into the NBA becomes even smaller at the college level.  If you are fortunate enough to receive an athletic scholarship to play basketball, you have beaten some of the odds, now you have to figure out how to transition to the NBA?  There are over 250 college basketball teams that contain 12 Players on each team, which means there are 3000 male athletes playing college basketball in total. Every year 60 elite athletes are chosen in the NBA draft.  Additionally, 15-20 standout athletes will make it onto an NBA team by impressing scouts in the NBA Summer League, so the that is a grand total of 80 players making it to the NBA


The end result is not favorable for those who wish to become professional basketball players, because only 1 out of 5000 male basketball players who make their high school team will transition to the NBA.  These statistics are quite daunting, but we (parents, teachers, coaches) should not be focusing on just helping our children make it, but helping them create a mindset of  I have many goals and although making it to the NBA is one of my goals it does not define me, I can and will beat the NBA odds.”

Magic Johnson is a perfect example of an NBA player that beat the NBA odds.  Yes, he made it into the NBA and excelled as well as broke records during his tenure, but when he left the NBA, he made a bigger name for himself and a legacy for future generations.  Magic Johnson redefined his himself by founding and running these entities: 
    Magic Johnson Enterprises
            Magic Johnson Productions – (A promotional company)
            Magic Johnson Theaters
            Magic Johnson Entertainment (Movie Studio)
            Magic Card (prepaid credit card)

Magic Johnson is also part owner of Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Dodgers


Magic Johnson’s life underscores the point that NBA is a goal, but it should not the only goal.  Your mind is your only limitation.  Shoot for the stars and you will reach them.

God Bless,
A. Mayartis J

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